Morgan Stanley software analyst Keith Weiss this afternoon offers his impressions after reviewing industry results for Q1, concluding that application software has been doing better than infrastructure software, of late, and that a "low bar" is set for results this quarter. Writes Weiss, who covers outfits such as Adobe Systems (
ADBE ), Autodesk ( ADSK ), Brightcover ( BCOV ), NetSuite ( N ), and Qlik Technologies ( QLIK ), 47% of the 59 software names he tracks missed revenue expectations, a failure rate above the 5 year average of 30%. The data last quarter turned out better for apps providers, from a revenue standpoint: Just 27% of applications vendors in our coverage missed revenues expectations, with relatively strong performance amongst enterprise apps names. Overall, the 11 apps names having reported in our coverage group beat consensus revenues on average by 2.2% versus the 13 infrastructure names missing on average by 0.2%. The outcome of the overall weak software performance is that software stocks have seen their forward P/E multiples decline 2% this year, versus a 15% P/E multiple expansion for the S&P 500, he notes.
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<span class="sent">Morgan Stanley software analyst <span class="analyst">Keith Weiss</span> this afternoon offers his impressions after reviewing industry results for Q1, concluding that application software has been doing better than infrastructure software, of late, and that a "low bar" is set for results this quarter.</span> Writes Weiss, who covers outfits such as Adobe Systems ( <span class="company">ADBE</span> ), Autodesk ( ADSK ), Brightcover ( BCOV ), NetSuite ( N ), and Qlik Technologies ( QLIK ), 47% of the 59 software names he tracks missed revenue expectations, a failure rate above the 5 year average of 30%. The data last quarter turned out better for apps providers, from a revenue standpoint: Just 27% of applications vendors in our coverage missed revenues expectations, with relatively strong performance amongst enterprise apps names. Overall, the 11 apps names having reported in our coverage group beat consensus revenues on average by 2.2% versus the 13 infrastructure names missing on average by 0.2%. The outcome of the overall weak software performance is that software stocks have seen their forward P/E multiples decline 2% this year, versus a 15% P/E multiple expansion for the S&P 500, he notes.
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