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It’s all hedge funds’ fault – again (All About Alpha) - Jan 31, 2010

It's all hedge funds' fault – again Dust in the wind, sand through time, defunct Dubai, Dubailand gone bust: the anecdotes and analogies are endless (and beautifully illustrated in these poignant photographs taken by Lauren Greenfield as the real estate market was crumbling.) . Poor headlines aside, what has occurred once again in emerging markets, or at least in one Emirate in the emerging world, has set off what many worry could be yet another chain of unfortunate debt defaulting events affecting banks, financial markets and everything in between Does anyone remember Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Argentina, Moldova, and Uruguay, or going back even farther, Turkey? 
Christopher Holt
Christopher Holt
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  It's all hedge funds' fault – again Dust in the wind, sand through time, defunct <span class="company">Dubai</span>, <span class="company">Dubai</span>land gone bust: the anecdotes and analogies are endless (and beautifully illustrated in these poignant photographs taken by Lauren Greenfield as the real estate market was crumbling.) . Tweet this 

Does anyone remember Russia, Ukraine, Pakistan, Ecuador, Argentina, Moldova, and Uruguay, or going back even farther, Turkey? For hedge funds in particular, Dubai World's $59 billion problem of not quite being able to pay the interest it owes on its debt has far wider reaching ramifications Most notably it has a financial and psychological impact on investors already leery of trying to earn something more than a 2 3% return, and relying on hedge funds to follow the emerging markets wave to get it for them The conundrum is plainly and eloquently summarized in a weekly commentary published last week from noted economic research firm Bank Credit Analyst Chen Zhao, the firm's managing editor and head macro thinker, took aim at hedge funds, particularly funds of funds, noting that their ability to generate the yield investors are looking for and expecting is "is actually hard to achieve, especially in a world of zero interest rates and with enormous financial and economic uncertainties" 
Chen Zhao
Chen Zhao
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  <span class="analyst">Chen Zhao</span>, the firm's managing editor and head macro thinker, took aim at hedge funds, particularly funds of funds, noting that their ability to generate the yield investors are looking for and expecting is "is actually hard to achieve, especially in a world of zero interest rates and with enormous financial and economic uncertainties" Tweet this 

Burkle Said to Offer to Take Control of Barneys (New York Times - DealBook) - Jan 29, 2010

Mr Burkle's investment firm, Yucaipa, which reportedly purchased a large amount of Barneys' debt recently, has offered to pony up another $50 million in a debt deal that would leave the investor with an 80 percent stake in the firm, which is owned by Istithmar, the investment arm of the troubled state owned conglomerate, Dubai World, the newspaper said Mr Burkle tabled the offer in a Dec 11 letter to Istithmar's then chief, The Journal said However, the newspaper, citing a person close to Istithmar, said Mr Burkle's proposal isn't under consideration 
 
Share:  Mr Burkle's investment firm, Yucaipa, which reportedly purchased a large amount of Barneys' debt recently, has offered to pony up another $50 million in a debt deal that would leave the investor with an 80 percent stake in the firm, which is owned by <span class="company">Istithmar</span>, the investment arm of the troubled state owned conglomerate, Dubai World, the newspaper said Tweet this 

Emirates NBD drops S&P as ratings agency (Arabianbusiness.com - Banking & Finance) - Jan 27, 2010

JP Morgan analysts estimated the bank's exposure to Dubai to be around two thirds of its loan book, likely to weigh on the bank's annual results which are due in February (Reuters) refered by url is , wwwarabianbusinesscom%2F580121 
 
Share:  <span class="analyst">JP Morgan</span> analysts estimated the bank's exposure to <span class="company">Dubai</span> to be around two thirds of its loan book, likely to weigh on the bank's annual results which are due in February (Reuters) refered by url is , wwwarabianbusinesscom%2F580121 Tweet this 

This Year, The Dubai Moguls Are Absent From Davos (The Business Insider) - Jan 26, 2010

The financial glitterati of Dubai have not showed up at Davos leading to speculation the Kingdom's leaders are trying to toe a more timid line after its financial collapse. It makes sense Last year top Wall Street bankers kept a low profile after their humiliation 
 
Share:  The financial glitterati of <span class="company">Dubai</span> have not showed up at Davos leading to speculation the Kingdom's leaders are trying to toe a more timid line after its financial collapse. Tweet this 

Dubai Holding eyes Bank Muscat stake sale to meet debt (Arabianbusiness.com - Real Estate) - Jan 26, 2010

Joice Mathew, head of research, United Securities LLC, said: "If Dubai Holding is trying a sale of its overseas assets, Bank Muscat is one which they can sell at a premium to current market prices" He added: "The stock is trading at a discount to valuations of its domestic peers" Last week, sources told Reuters that Dubai Group, the financial services firm of Dubai Holding, was in talks to sell its 41 percent stake in Oman National Investment Corp, a sale that could garner about $90 million 
Joice Mathew
Joice Mathew
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  <span class="analyst">Joice Mathew</span>, head of research, United Securities LLC, said: "If <span class="company">Dubai</span> Holding is trying a sale of its overseas assets, Bank Muscat is one which they can sell at a premium to current market prices" Tweet this 

Dubai Growing Up Just Fine (True/Slant) - Jan 26, 2010

The article goes on to point out that foreclosure is probably not going to be the preferred way of going further: Lenders might be selective in applying the new law Britain's Standard Chartered Bank, a big mortgage lender in Dubai, says foreclosure is "a legitimate course of action" but not its "preferred approach" As in the United States, financial institutions are reluctant to dump foreclosed houses on the market for fear of driving down prices, says Saud Masud, a Dubai – based real estate analyst at UBS New projects, started before the bust, will add up to 30,000 housing units to the market in 2010, according to Deutsche Bank " Mass auctions might reprice the real estate market in a meaningful way, " Masud says " It's a slippery slope" 
Saud Masud
Saud Masud
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  As in the United States, financial institutions are reluctant to dump foreclosed houses on the market for fear of driving down prices, says <span class="analyst">Saud Masud</span>, a <span class="company">Dubai</span> – based real estate analyst at UBS New projects, started before the bust, will add up to 30,000 housing units to the market in 2010, according to Deutsche Bank Tweet this 

View from London: Making A Mountain Out Of A Sand Dune? (HOTELS - Finance & Investment News) - Jan 22, 2010

The scale of Dubai World's debt was put at an eye watering US$60 billion, until Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out that the debt is approximately US$25 billion 
 
Share:  The scale of <span class="company">Dubai World</span>'s debt was put at an eye watering US$60 billion, until <span class="analyst">Deutsche Bank</span> analysts pointed out that the debt is approximately US$25 billion Tweet this 

Istithmar Chief Resigns, Amid Dubai World Woes (New York Times - DealBook) - Jan 21, 2010

Dubai World has shown the chief executive of Istithmar World the door, as the government owned conglomerate struggles renegotiate its roughly $22 billion of debt load, Bloomberg News reported. David Jackson, the architect of many of the private equity unit's priciest deals, resigned and was replaced by Istithmar World's chief investment officer Andy Watson, Dubai World said Wednesday Mr Watson, a former director at Barclays Capital, was appointed acting chief executive, the state owned company said 
 
Share:  <span class="company">Dubai World</span> has shown the chief executive of Istithmar World the door, as the government owned conglomerate struggles renegotiate its roughly $22 billion of debt load, Bloomberg News reported. Tweet this 

Chinese investors to target distressed Dubai real estate (Arabianbusiness.com - Real Estate) - Jan 20, 2010

This week, Arabian Business reported how the Palm Jumeirah had witnessed its first property repossession, resulting in a local Dubai bank selling an apartment for just AED745 per square foot – nearly 35 percent below the current market rate Prices in the emirate were this week forecast by UBS to fall another 30 percent from current levels as the bank believes there could be up to 150,000 units lying empty due to the oversupply in the market "We reiterate our view that by end of 2011 Dubai property oversupply on residential and commercial properties may reach roughly 40 to 50 percent and house prices may decline another 30 percent from current levels," analyst Saud Masud said in a research note 
Saud Masud
Saud Masud
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  "We reiterate our view that by end of 2011 <span class="company">Dubai</span> property oversupply on residential and commercial properties may reach roughly 40 to 50 percent and house prices may decline another 30 percent from current levels," analyst <span class="analyst">Saud Masud</span> said in a research note Tweet this 

Nakheel Pays Coupon on $750m Bond (Khaleej Times : Business News) - Jan 20, 2010

Analysts at UBS AG said Dubai World was likely to offer improved terms to creditors while renegotiating the debt 
 
Share:  Analysts at <span class="analyst">UBS AG</span> said <span class="company">Dubai World</span> was likely to offer improved terms to creditors while renegotiating the debt Tweet this 

Bond market needs tonic after Dubai shock (Financial Times) - Jan 20, 2010

Last year was one to remember for investors in the Gulf's small but swelling credit markets , for good and bad reasons. Bond issuance almost quadrupled to a record $41bn, from $11bn in 2008 and the previous peak of $27bn in 2007, according to Dealogic, 
Saud Masud
Saud Masud
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  Last year was one to remember for investors in the Gulf's small but swelling credit markets , for good and bad reasons. Tweet this 

Is Dubai's Debt Actually $170 Billion, Twice As Much As Previously Believed? (Clusterstock) - Jan 19, 2010

Only hours after it emerged that Dubai did not receive half of its $10 billion bailout, new numbers suggest that the Emirate is actually in $170 billion of debt not $80 billion like it said. A report issued by the Gulf investment bank EFG Hermes states, "The total debt held by Dubai Inc could well be in the range of $130 170 billion," Dubai Inc being the state and its owned entities This could spell further trouble for the Emirate in credit markets as its sovereign debt has been under pressure since the Dubai World funding crisis began on thJoin the conversation about this story »See Also:Check Out The Banks That Just Made A Boatload Of Money On The Dubai BailoutAbu Dhabi Bails Out Dubai!Euro Brinkmanship Escalates As ECB Shuts Door On Greek Bail Out 
 
Share:  Only hours after it emerged that <span class="company">Dubai</span> did not receive half of its $10 billion bailout, new numbers suggest that the Emirate is actually in $170 billion of debt not $80 billion like it said. Tweet this 

Dubai Back In Crisis Mode As $5 Billion Missing From Abu Dhabi Bail Out (The Business Insider) - Jan 19, 2010

Dubai has announced that their Abu Dhabi December bail out has turned out to be half the size they expected. $5 billion rather than the $10 billion previously thought Apparently $5 billion of the $10 billion was comprised of loans to Dubai that Abu Dhabi banks had already organized before the Dubai crisis 
 
Share:  <span class="company">Dubai</span> has announced that their Abu Dhabi December bail out has turned out to be half the size they expected. $5 billion rather than the $10 billion previously thought Tweet this 

Some Dubai World Creditors Said to Seek Loan Sale (New York Times - DealBook) - Jan 19, 2010

Some creditors to Dubai World, which is currently restructuring $22 billion of debt, are seeking to offload loans to reduce their exposure to the Gulf emirate's conglomerate, The Financial Times reported. Debt traders told potential investors that there was a seller looking to offload about $100 million of Dubai World loans, the newspaper said The sellers are believed to be mostly some of the smaller international banks which are unhappy with the restructuring process, The Financial times said, citing a Dubai based banker 
 
Share:  Some creditors to <span class="company">Dubai World</span>, which is currently restructuring $22 billion of debt, are seeking to offload loans to reduce their exposure to the Gulf emirate's conglomerate, The Financial Times reported. Tweet this 

Dubai World likely to offer 'sweeteners': UBS (The China Post - Business News) - Jan 18, 2010

"There is a higher probability of Dubai World offering sweeteners to creditors, perhaps higher interest rates or equity swap options, for a terming out of obligations in lieu of creditors waiving legal claims to key Dubai World assets including DP World," UBS AG analysts said in a report, yesterday.  
 
Share:  "There is a higher probability of <span class="company">Dubai World</span> offering sweeteners to creditors, perhaps higher interest rates or equity swap options, for a terming out of obligations in lieu of creditors waiving legal claims to key <span class="company">Dubai World</span> assets including DP World," <span class="analyst">UBS AG</span> analysts said in a report, yesterday. Tweet this 

A replay of the movie 'City of Ghosts'?-From Russia with love (Asian Energy) - Jan 14, 2010

used this money to invest in Dubai As we all know, Dubai is facing a financial meltdown Dubai World, the state owned corporation, is seeking a delay of payment in its debt, which amounts to $59 billion 
 
Share:  used this money to invest in <span class="company">Dubai</span> As we all know, <span class="company">Dubai</span> is facing a financial meltdown <span class="company">Dubai</span> World, the state owned corporation, is seeking a delay of payment in its debt, which amounts to $59 billion Tweet this 

Banks lift Qatar Exchange 20 points (Qatar Tribune - Business) - Jan 14, 2010

Dubai that month avoided a default on $41 billion payments due for Nakheel's 2009 bond Morgan Stanley in a research report said on Thursday that the stock markets in the Gulf countries lack nearterm "triggers" to spur gains and Dubai's debt restructuring may remain a drag on the market until the second half of 2010 Higher financing costs, potential credit rating downgrades and a delayed recovery in earnings are "major overhangs" for Arab equities, Michael Wang, an emerging market strategist in London at Morgan Stanley, wrote in a research note dated on Wednesday Investors should wait until "later" in the first half of 2010 to add to holdings, he wrote 
Michael Wang
Michael Wang
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  Higher financing costs, potential credit rating downgrades and a delayed recovery in earnings are "major overhangs" for Arab equities, <span class="analyst">Michael Wang</span>, an emerging market strategist in London at Morgan Stanley, wrote in a research note dated on Wednesday Tweet this 

Dubai's DP World seeks London stock market listing (Evening Standard - Business) - Jan 06, 2010

060110 DP World , the Dubai ports giant which operates sea terminals around the world, is to list on the London Stock Exchange The firm said today that it planned to keep its primary stock market listing on the Dubai Nasdaq index and seek a secondary listing in London The ports giant indicated last March that it was keen to find another listing to tackle "its continued disappointment with the markets valuation of the company" Robin Byde, head of transport research at HSBC , said: " Dubai World wants to broaden the appeal of the company among the investor base 
Robin Byde
Robin Byde
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  <span class="analyst">Robin Byde</span>, head of transport research at HSBC , said: " <span class="company">Dubai</span> World wants to broaden the appeal of the company among the investor base Tweet this 

Dubai Skyscraper’s New Name Shows Shifting Fortunes in U.A.E. (BusinessWeek.com - Europe) - Jan 04, 2010

Burj Khalifa has a height of 828 meters (2,717 feet), Alabbar said in a telephone interview Apartment prices in the tower, formerly known as Burj Dubai, have fallen to less than half of the 10,000 dirhams ($2,700) a square foot that they reached at the 2008 peak "It may still run at a premium to the rest of the market but I'd be surprised if there were no defaults and if vacancy rates didn't creep up," since a large proportion of the developer's sales were financed through mortgages, said Saud Masud, a Dubai based analyst at UBS AG 
Saud Masud
Saud Masud
Quotability Index: the stars indicate how frequently this analyst is quoted in the Street Pulse sources. Five stars represent the top quintile, four stars the next and so forth.  
Share:  "It may still run at a premium to the rest of the market but I'd be surprised if there were no defaults and if vacancy rates didn't creep up," since a large proportion of the developer's sales were financed through mortgages, said <span class="analyst">Saud Masud</span>, a <span class="company">Dubai</span> based analyst at UBS AG Tweet this 

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