Tech Trader Daily - Feb 26, 2010Liberty Media Corporation
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Lev Polinsky
at
JP MorganThe Heard focuses on the fact that valuing the company using a fully diluted share count, including the 40% stake
Liberty Media would get from converting its preferred shares into common, gives the stock an EV/EBITDA multiple of 18x 2010 estimates. That's not really a surprise to the Street; several analysts I quoted this morning took note of the relatively high EV/EBITDA multiple, and all of them use a fully diluted share count that includes
Liberty's stake. The punch line is that Peers contends "the current valuation is hard to justify." He says a more reasonable EV/EBITDA multiple would be 8x, "which suggests the stock is worth only 25 cents" a share.
Peers seems to be borrowing from J.P. Morgan analyst Lev Polinsky, who as I pointed out in my earlier post wrote in a research report today that other subscription businesses trade at 4x 8x EBITDA.
Share:
The Heard focuses on the fact that valuing the company using a fully diluted share count, including the 40% stake <span class="company">Liberty</span> Media would get from converting its preferred shares into common, gives the stock an EV/EBITDA multiple of 18x 2010 estimates. That's not really a surprise to the Street; several analysts I quoted this morning took note of the relatively high EV/EBITDA multiple, and all of them use a fully diluted share count that includes <span class="company">Liberty</span>'s stake. The punch line is that Peers contends "the current valuation is hard to justify." He says a more reasonable EV/EBITDA multiple would be 8x, "which suggests the stock is worth only 25 cents" a share.<span class="sent"> Peers seems to be borrowing from J.P. Morgan analyst <span class="analyst">Lev Polinsky</span>, who as I pointed out in my earlier post wrote in a research report today that other subscription businesses trade at 4x 8x EBITDA.</span>
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