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Vicki Bryan, Gimme Credit

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Latest Analyst Comments by Vicki Bryan, Gimme Credit
 

US CREDIT-Hovnanian debt good value as income improves (Reuters) - Mar 10, 2010

They have a neutral recommendation on the company's bonds. Hovnanian's debt has rallied since the company came under severe pressure in 2009, when cash burn and rapidly deteriorating housing markets raised concerns the homebuilder would have trouble meeting its debt payments. "Against the severity of Hovnanian's decline in 2009, results in 2010 should look better," Gimme Credit analyst Vicki Bryan said in a report. 
Recent Research on Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV)
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (S&P Credit Research)- Jan 12, 2010
Summary: Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (S&P Credit Research)- Jan 12, 2010
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Share:  "Against the severity of <span class="company">Hovnanian</span>'s decline in 2009, results in 2010 should look better," Gimme Credit analyst <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span> said in a report. Tweet this 

HCA Sells $1.4 Billion of 10-Year Notes to Repay Debt (BusinessWeek) - Mar 02, 2010

The company's senior secured term loan facilities have an effective interest rate of 6.5 percent, according to the SEC filing. HCA has $25.7 billion of long term debt, including $846 million due in 2010, according to the filing. ‘Maturity Pressure' "Near term maturity pressure has not been relieved," wrote Vicki Bryan, a high yield bond analyst at Gimme Credit LLC in Chicago. "Interest costs will go up, and for a longer period." 
Share:  ‘Maturity Pressure' "Near term maturity pressure has not been relieved," wrote <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a high yield bond analyst at Gimme Credit LLC in Chicago. Tweet this 

HCA Sells $1.4 Billion Junk-Bond Issue, Yield 7.375% (NASDAQ) - Mar 02, 2010

That yield was in line with earlier price guidance. The offering is "consistent with the refinancing plan [HCA has] been executing for the last year," said Peter Thornton, analyst at high yield bond research firm KDP Advisors. "It's more of managing their maturity schedule, to reduce the amount of bank debt outstanding to give them more flexibility as they're getting ready to maybe redo their bank facility eventually." But Vicki Bryan, an analyst at Gimme Credit, said the company's term debt carries lower interest rates than the new bonds and doesn't mature for another two to three years, and questioned the need for the bond offering now. 
Share:  But <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, an analyst at Gimme Credit, said the company's term debt carries lower interest rates than the new bonds and doesn't mature for another two to three years, and questioned the need for the bond offering now. Tweet this 

Optimistic Lennar Dumps $1.1 Billion Credit Line (Housing Zone) - Feb 22, 2010

, It has entered into such agreements with two banks with a capacity totaling $225 million. , Lennar will currently use $164 million to replace letters of credit that had been issued under the Credit Facility. , The Company expects to save over $8 million annually as a result of terminating the Credit Facility. According to corporate bond analyst Vicki Bryan of Gimme Credit, Lennar has sufficient cash to endure the remainder of the housing downturn. Pulte and Toll Brothers are the only national builders to maintain significant bank credit lines advertisement 
Recent Research on Lennar Corporation (LEN)
Q4 2009 Lennar Corporation Earnings Conference Call (Thomson Street Events)- Jan 07, 2010
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Share:  According to corporate bond analyst <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span> of Gimme Credit, <span class="company">Lennar</span> has sufficient cash to endure the remainder of the housing downturn. Tweet this 

Lennar terminates $1.1 billion credit facility (Reuters) - Feb 22, 2010

No 1 homebuilder Pulte Homes Inc ( PHMN ) and luxury builder Toll Brothers Inc ( TOLN ) are the only national builders to maintain significant bank lines, said corporate bond analyst Vicki Bryan of Gimme Credit 
Recent Research on Pulte Homes, Inc. (PHM)
Summary: Pulte Homes Inc. (S&P Credit Research)- Mar 03, 2010
Q3 2009 Pulte Homes Inc. Earnings Conference Call (Thomson Street Events)- Nov 04, 2009
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Share:  No 1 homebuilder <span class="company">Pulte Homes</span> Inc ( PHMN ) and luxury builder Toll Brothers Inc ( TOLN ) are the only national builders to maintain significant bank lines, said corporate bond analyst <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span> of Gimme Credit Tweet this 

No 1 homebuilder Pulte Homes Inc ( PHMN ) and luxury builder Toll Brothers Inc ( TOLN ) are the only national builders to maintain significant bank lines, said corporate bond analyst Vicki Bryan of Gimme Credit 
Share:  No 1 homebuilder Pulte Homes Inc ( PHMN ) and luxury builder <span class="company">Toll Brothers</span> Inc ( TOLN ) are the only national builders to maintain significant bank lines, said corporate bond analyst <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span> of Gimme Credit Tweet this 

Dealbook Column: Shareholders Deciding a Dividend (NYT - Business) - Feb 08, 2010

Collectively, the group put down $55 billion in cash — the rest was a giant loan from a syndicate of banks So when HCA says it will pay a dividend to its shareholders, what it really means is that its shareholders — the private equity firms that control the board — have decided to pay themselves That might be a reasonable thing to do in a bull market with a highly profitable company that has little debt But just look at HCA's balance sheet: it has a staggering $257 billion worth of debt that it still needs to pay off As Vicki Bryan, an analyst at Gimme Credit, wrote in a report to clients, HCA's $175 billion dividend payment last week "completely offsets the comparatively meager $16 billion in debt paid off in 2008 2009" 
Recent Research on HCA Inc.
HCA, Inc. (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Mar 03, 2010
Moody's rates HCA's first lien note offering Ba3 (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Mar 02, 2010
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Share:  As <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, an analyst at Gimme Credit, wrote in a report to clients, <span class="company">HCA</span>'s $175 billion dividend payment last week "completely offsets the comparatively meager $16 billion in debt paid off in 2008 2009" Tweet this 

Shareholders Deciding a Dividend (New York Times) - Feb 08, 2010

Collectively, the group put down $55 billion in cash — the rest was a giant loan from a syndicate of banks So when HCA says it will pay a dividend to its shareholders, what it really means is that its shareholders — the private equity firms that control the board — have decided to pay themselves That might be a reasonable thing to do in a bull market with a highly profitable company that has little debt But just look at HCA's balance sheet: it has a staggering $257 billion worth of debt that it still needs to pay off As Vicki Bryan, an analyst at Gimme Credit, wrote in a report to clients, HCA's $175 billion dividend payment last week "completely offsets the comparatively meager $16 billion in debt paid off in 2008 2009" 
Share:  As <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, an analyst at Gimme Credit, wrote in a report to clients, <span class="company">HCA</span>'s $175 billion dividend payment last week "completely offsets the comparatively meager $16 billion in debt paid off in 2008 2009" Tweet this 

Collectively, the group put down $55 billion in cash — the rest was a giant loan from a syndicate of banks So when HCA says it will pay a dividend to its shareholders, what it really means is that its shareholders — the private equity firms that control the board — have decided to pay themselves That might be a reasonable thing to do in a bull market with a highly profitable company that has little debt But just look at HCA's balance sheet: it has a staggering $257 billion worth of debt that it still needs to pay off As Vicki Bryan, an analyst at Gimme Credit, wrote in a report to clients, HCA's $175 billion dividend payment last week "completely offsets the comparatively meager $16 billion in debt paid off in 2008 2009" 
Share:  As <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, an analyst at Gimme Credit, wrote in a report to clients, <span class="company">HCA</span>'s $175 billion dividend payment last week "completely offsets the comparatively meager $16 billion in debt paid off in 2008 2009" Tweet this 

HCA's big payout before expected IPO raises red flags (The Tennessean) - Feb 03, 2010

Griffith said that between questions raised by a securities regulator last fall over payroll issues at HCA's London operations, and uncertainty about the future of health care reform, a stock offering might not be so inevitable any longer Vicki Bryan, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that HCA's equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate (2 of 2) "The fourth quarter looks weak, and I expect a tougher business environment for hospitals in 2010 as pricing fades and cost inflation outpaces revenue growth," Bryan said, referring to HCA's preview of earnings for its just ended quarter 
Share:  <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that <span class="company">HCA</span>'s equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate Tweet this 

Griffith said that between questions raised by a securities regulator last fall over payroll issues at HCA's London operations, and uncertainty about the future of health care reform, a stock offering might not be so inevitable any longer Vicki Bryan, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that HCA's equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate (2 of 2) "The fourth quarter looks weak, and I expect a tougher business environment for hospitals in 2010 as pricing fades and cost inflation outpaces revenue growth," Bryan said, referring to HCA's preview of earnings for its just ended quarter 
Share:  <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that <span class="company">HCA</span>'s equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate Tweet this 

Getahn Ward: HCA's big payout before expected IPO raises red flags (tennessean.com - Business) - Feb 02, 2010

Griffith said that between questions raised by a securities regulator last fall over payroll issues at HCA's London operations, and uncertainty about the future of health care reform, a stock offering might not be so inevitable any longer Vicki Bryan, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that HCA's equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate (2 of 2) "The fourth quarter looks weak, and I expect a tougher business environment for hospitals in 2010 as pricing fades and cost inflation outpaces revenue growth," Bryan said, referring to HCA's preview of earnings for its just ended quarter 
Share:  <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that <span class="company">HCA</span>'s equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate Tweet this 

Griffith said that between questions raised by a securities regulator last fall over payroll issues at HCA's London operations, and uncertainty about the future of health care reform, a stock offering might not be so inevitable any longer Vicki Bryan, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that HCA's equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate (2 of 2) "The fourth quarter looks weak, and I expect a tougher business environment for hospitals in 2010 as pricing fades and cost inflation outpaces revenue growth," Bryan said, referring to HCA's preview of earnings for its just ended quarter 
Share:  <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a bond analyst at Gimme Credit research in New York, considers the dividend a negative signal that <span class="company">HCA</span>'s equity sponsors are taking money off the table before the company's prospects deteriorate Tweet this 

United Airlines to Sell $500 Million of Notes: New Issue Alert (Bloomberg) - Jan 05, 2010

UAL Corp 's United Airlines unit plans to sell $500 million of notes, tapping into investors demand for high yield, high risk assets amid forecasts for a rebound in travel The third largest US carrier is offering senior secured notes due in 2013 that may yield about 11 percent, according to a person familiar with the sale who declined to be identified because terms aren't set Proceeds from the sale, which is among $546 billion of corporate debt being marketed in the US, will be used for general corporate purposes, Chicago based UAL said in a statement last week United's offering is "very attractive" for bond buyers as airline industry results are likely to improve in 2010, said Vicki Bryan , a senior analyst at Gimme Credit LLC 
Recent Research on UAL Corporation (UAUA)
Summary: UAL Corp. (S&P Credit Research)- Jan 19, 2010
UAL Corp. (S&P Credit Research)- Jan 19, 2010
UAL Corporation (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Jan 13, 2010
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Share:  United's offering is "very attractive" for bond buyers as airline industry results are likely to improve in 2010, said <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span> , a senior analyst at Gimme Credit LLC Tweet this 

Airlines climb; industry index hits 52-week high (MarketWatch) - Jan 05, 2010

"I am not asking you or anyone else to reduce their pay," said incoming CEO Jeff Smisek, in a letter to employees "What I am asking is that you join me in making Continental profitable again" It may appear on the surface to be a generous offer, but don't send him cans of food yet, said Gimme Credit bond analyst Vicki Bryan Earnings growth before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization has already returned and should improve meaningfully over the next few quarters 
Recent Research on Continental Airlines, Inc. (CAL)
Continental Airlines, Inc. (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Jan 20, 2010
Continental Airlines, Inc. (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Dec 29, 2009
Leveraged Finance Weekly (Fitch Research)- Dec 11, 2009
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Share:  It may appear on the surface to be a generous offer, but don't send him cans of food yet, said Gimme Credit bond analyst <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span> Tweet this 

Airline stocks climb, led by Brazilian airline Tam Sa (MarketWatch) - Dec 16, 2009

The troubled carrier is in AMR's oneworld alliance, but Delta is determined to get JAL to join its SkyTeam alliance and offered $1 billion in funding last month. On Friday, the U.S and Japan agreed to fully liberalize their civil aviation markets under a landmark "open skies" arrangement, which is likely to intensify the struggle for JAL. "The stakes are higher now, since the new open skies agreement removes important restrictions on flights between the two countries and increases the number of U.S. Japan routes into Japan's two major airports," said Vicki Bryan, an analyst with bond researcher GimmeCredit. According to Bryan, the agreement opens the door for U.S carriers to form joint ventures with Japanese carriers now granted antitrust immunity, which would create unprecedented competitive advantages such as setting local market prices, schedules and routes. 
Share:  "The stakes are higher now, since the new open skies agreement removes important restrictions on flights between the two countries and increases the number of U.S. Japan routes into Japan's two major airports," said <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, an analyst with bond researcher GimmeCredit. Tweet this 

US CREDIT-AMR stakes in JAL bid war too high to lose (Reuters) - Nov 25, 2009

"They have deeper pockets and I don't see it being a credit problem for them." Many agree that for Delta, losing out to AMR on the deal would be a non event for the company while a successful bid would give it a huge strategic asset. Delta is in talks to add more major airlines from China, Asia's most lucrative airline market, to its SkyTeam alliance, said GimmeCredit analyst Vicki Bryan.  
Recent Research on Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL)
Moody's withdraws CFR/PDR of Northwest Airlines Corp (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Jan 13, 2010
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Share:  <span class="company">Delta</span> is in talks to add more major airlines from China, Asia's most lucrative airline market, to its SkyTeam alliance, said GimmeCredit analyst <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>. Tweet this 

Landry's could go private (San Antonio Express) - Nov 03, 2009

The company also owns Kemah Boardwalk as well as the Golden Nugget Hotel & Casino in Nevada. In September, the company announced Fertitta had made an offer in which the Saltgrass Steak House chain would be spun off to Landry's shareholders. The board later rejected that offer. Not only has the board accepted the latest offer, but shareholders just might go for it, too, according to Vicki Bryan, a senior analyst with Gimme Credit, an independent New York based bond research group. She believes the offer benefits both Fertitta and shareholders. 
Recent Research on Landry's Restaurants, Inc. (LNY)
Landry's Restaurants, Inc. (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Dec 18, 2009
Moody's rates Landry's proposed notes B3; all ratings on review down (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Nov 17, 2009
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Share:  Not only has the board accepted the latest offer, but shareholders just might go for it, too, according to <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a senior analyst with Gimme Credit, an independent New York based bond research group. Tweet this 

The company also owns Kemah Boardwalk as well as the Golden Nugget Hotel & Casino in Nevada. In September, the company announced Fertitta had made an offer in which the Saltgrass Steak House chain would be spun off to Landry's shareholders. The board later rejected that offer. Not only has the board accepted the latest offer, but shareholders just might go for it, too, according to Vicki Bryan, a senior analyst with Gimme Credit, an independent New York based bond research group. She believes the offer benefits both Fertitta and shareholders. 
Share:  Not only has the board accepted the latest offer, but shareholders just might go for it, too, according to <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, a senior analyst with Gimme Credit, an independent New York based bond research group. Tweet this 

Shamrock says its three nominees win seats on TXI's board (Business News from The Dallas Morning News) - Oct 22, 2009

Shamrock says its three nominees win seats on TXI's board 12:00 AM CDT on , 2009 By BRENDAN CASE / The Dallas Morning News bcase@dallasnews.com . Three insurgent candidates won seats on Texas Industries Inc.'s board of directors, according to the California investment firm that nominated them, in what analysts described as a stinging rebuke to TXI's management. According to preliminary calculations by Burbank, Calif. based Shamrock Activist Value Fund LP, the three candidates were elected by a 4 1 ratio in a shareholder vote Thursday. Shamrock, with more than 10 percent of TXI shares, is the Dallas based cement company's third largest shareholder. "The shareholders haven't just spoken, they have shouted for change," said Vicki Bryan, an analyst at Gimme Credit LLC, a New York based research firm.  
Recent Research on Texas Industries, Inc. (TXI)
Texas Industries, Inc. (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Jan 22, 2010
Moody's downgrades Texas Industries' CFR to B2, outlook stable (Moody's Global Credit Research)- Jan 21, 2010
Texas Industries Inc. (S&P Credit Research)- Jan 19, 2010
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Share:  "The shareholders haven't just spoken, they have shouted for change," said <span class="analyst">Vicki Bryan</span>, an analyst at Gimme Credit LLC, a New York based research firm. Tweet this 

Bio
 

Vicki Bryan

Gimme Credit

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Vicki Bryan

About Vicki Bryan:

Has 22 years of experience in the investment industry with 12 years covering high yield and distressed companies across a wide variety of industries. She was a senior analyst and partner with AIM Investment Management, and an independent management consultant advising in financial strategy to distressed and emerging growth companies. Bryan earned her M.S. in finance from University of Houston, where she also served as adjunct professor.

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